Food Club

[Blue]

Thanks again for the picks. I managed to get them in early this morning. I went to check this afternoon and had zero winnings. I thought, "Ah well, can't win every time" but then realized that these are for tomorrow

[Pickles]

Blue, Food club runs at about 2:53pm NST. (At least, last I checked.) If you followed Siniri's bets this morning, you should've won 16:10.

I didn't have time to post what I bet this morning, as I was in a super big hurry to get going, but I also got 16:10.

[Siniri]

Yep, I won 16:10. Pickles is right about the ending time. It's silly because the gates still open and close as if it were running on time, so there's about 35 minutes after the gates open (for the new day, supposedly) during which you can still make bets on the old day - but if you are in the middle of placing a bet when the day changes, it'll roll over into the next day (and most likely be a "nonsense" bet on pirates that aren't even in the arena you bet on them within).

[Blue]

Thanks Pickles! I did indeed win 16:10 and just collected my winnings. Had you not posted, I would have checked back tomorrow afternoon to find nothing.

Very good to know about the time lag. Based on that, I suppose it is best to avoid placing any bets between 2 and 3 NST.

[Pickles]

Had to put them in fast so no guarantees.

Tail x (Ned, Ed, Scurvy)
(Fair, Stuff, Stripe) x Buck x Ed
(Fair, Stripe) x Buck x (Ned, Scurvy)

[Siniri]

Didn't like today, so I procrastinated.

P(12:10-60:10): 69%
EV: 1.55-1.82

bets:
(fair, stripe) x buck x (ed, scurvy)
(stuff, puff) x buck x scurvy
stripe x tail x scurvy
buck x (ned, scurvy)
tail x ed

[Pickles]

Busted. Thanks, Orvinn. Ah well.

[Siniri]

Same. Hopefully I posted my bets too late for anyone to copy. I guess I should have procrastinated another couple of hours; today just smelled bad.

[Blue]

I caught the vibe... no bets for me today

[Siniri]

P(32:10-144:10): 39%
EV: 2.55-2.82

Bets:
Bonnie x Buck x Goo x (Ned, Fed) x Fran
Bonnie x Buck x Goo x Ned x Ed
Bonnie x (Young, Tail) x Goo x (Ned; Fran)
Black x Goo x Fran x (Buck; Ned)
Bonnie x Luck x Ned x Fran

Pretty risky set today, but huge potential, too. No guts, no glory? Or the higher they rise, the harder they fall? Only time will tell...

[Pickles]

Almost identical, but I took Ned out of my Luck bet. Could've left him in, but didn't feel like it.

Bonnie x Buck x Goo x (Ned, Fed) x Fran
Bonnie x Buck x Goo x Ned x Ed
Bonnie x (Young, Tail) x Goo x (Ned; Fran)
Black x Goo x Fran x (Buck; Ned)
Bonnie x Luck x Fran

ETA: Go figure, it was a 2's day. 32:10.

[Siniri]

Same. I had a feeling about the 2sday, but I don't bet on feelings. Usually they're wrong, despite being correct yesterday and today. Today was actually kind of risky, I thought, and even with my 9 safeties, my set was risky, so I'm happy with 32:10.

Edit for New bets:
P(8:10-72:10): 51%
EV: 1.42-1.57

Bets:
Goo x Ned x (Buck; Ed)
Goo x Buck x Ed
Scurvy x Ned x Ed
Tail x (Ned; Ed)
Scurvy x Puff
Scurvy x Buck x Ned x (Ed, Stripe, Peg)

[Pickles]

Not feelin' Goo today, so I went heavier on Scurvy.

Tail x (Ned; Ed)
(Goo, Scurvy) x Puff
Goo x Ned x Ed
Scurvy x Ned x (Ed, Peg, Stripe)
Scurvy x Ed x (Fair; Orvinn)

ETA: 20:10. Glad I left Buck out!

[Siniri]

Too bad, I didn't. Busted.

New bets:
P(6:10-40:10): 77% (P(6:10)=17%, P(0:10)=23%, P(12+:10)=60%)
EV: 1.03-1.48

Bets:
(Black, Stripe, Goo) x (Buck, Fed)
Goo x Buck x (all in TI)

Not a lot of EV to go around... Mostly cloudy with a large chance of mediocrity.

[Pickles]

Not 100% happy with these. Feels like I should be covering more, but I'm still not feeling Goo and Buck...but here goes:

(Black, Stripe, Goo) x Fran
(Black, Stripe) x Buck
(Black, Stripe, Goo) x Tail x Buck
Goo x (Ned, Fair) x Buck