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Wind
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 2:53 pm 
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Uhm... o_0, you posted in the wrong forum...

I've got no suspects, but there's 3 people I think are innocents (well, 4 before Kugetsu was killed)

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Matt
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:00 pm 
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There is one person who I have cleared, anyone who wants to know it, PM me.

Anyway, time to watch the evil wolves die :evil:

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Qanda
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:04 pm 
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Kugetsu wrote:
Well... well... I'm just glad that I was killed by my own people rather than a werewolf or the mafia... oh wait... that might be worse.... >_>


You can say that again. You don't know how much it hurts to be mauled. Your skin is torn to shreds and... *looks around* oh wait, this is a children's site. ;)

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Wind
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:08 pm 
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Qanda wrote:
Kugetsu wrote:
Well... well... I'm just glad that I was killed by my own people rather than a werewolf or the mafia... oh wait... that might be worse.... >_>


You can say that again. You don't know how much it hurts to be mauled. Your skin is torn to shreds and... *looks around* oh wait, this is a children's site. ;)


Personally I prefer being killed by the wolves, it means I was dangerous for them... I feel important!!!

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Qanda
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:10 pm 
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Things are coming to a head. There are now 4 baddies among 12 people, very very bad. Too bad everyone is bandwagoning each execution, including the innocents, so it is hard to tell who are the baddies from the votes.

*Edited to correct calculation error ;)

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Last edited by Qanda on Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Wind
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:17 pm 
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They're 12 people, not 10, anyway you're right, the wolves are just too strong now...
The sad thing is, after the active people are killed, there are not so many posts :( just 4 pages in 2 days, they were a lot more and it didn't depend from the fact that there was more people

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Qanda
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:27 pm 
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Now what's the worse case scenario? The next night, the innocents execute another innocent again (egged on by the four baddies of course), while the baddies get two more innocents. The ratio becomes 4:9.

The best case scenario? Innocents execute a wolf. The wolves aim to kill the mafia, while the mafia targets a wolf. Mafia dies and cannot kill. Ratio is now 2:7, and from then on only one person can get mauled each day.

Seems like there is hope yet...

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Kugetsu
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:53 pm 
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I can see a werewolf getting executed next, but I'm not holding myself up to that. We severely crippled ourselves at the first execution with the death of the Angel. The first execution was the main problem. With the Angel alive for at least one whole day, we might have had somewhat of a chance of clearing at least one person and boosting communication around the group. Unfortunately, people can really only suspect now, for no one has any idea who are the baddies are. If a baddie isn't killed next execution, their fates are just about sealed.

I did start listing every possible scenario and their chances of occuring, but I realized halfway through that I messed up somewhere and didn't feel like doing it over again. I ended up with like 115% overall... -_-;

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Wind
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:01 pm 
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Haha, I know the feeling... Last game I tried to calculate the possibility of the Mystic clearing enough people to vote with them and get majority, plus the possibility that enough other villagers voted for the same person so they could get an execution, provided that the Mystic dreamt of a wolf before... well, I totally got it wrong!
Anyway it was during a lesson :oops:

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Ammer
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:26 pm 
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Damnit! I have two major suspects since day one that aren't killed yet. What is the other Mafia member doing? Kill the two I always mentioned to you!

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Qanda
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:29 pm 
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Ammer wrote:
Damnit! I have two major suspects since day one that aren't killed yet. What is the other Mafia member doing? Kill the two I always mentioned to you!


Major suspect as in... suspected to be werewolves or suspected to be innocents? :battar:
:P

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Matt
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:31 pm 
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Qanda wrote:
Ammer wrote:
Damnit! I have two major suspects since day one that aren't killed yet. What is the other Mafia member doing? Kill the two I always mentioned to you!


Major suspect as in... suspected to be werewolves or suspected to be innocents? :battar:
:P


Werewolves. We are a very minor threat compared to the werewolves.

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Wind
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:45 pm 
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Matt wrote:
Werewolves. We are a very minor threat compared to the werewolves.


Especially since we are sooo good at killing innocent people :P

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Matt
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:50 pm 
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Next game, you should give the dead people a chance to 'seek revenge' on the island, by allowing the zombies to vote a person of the island :P

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Wind
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PostPosted: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:56 pm 
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Matt wrote:
Next game, you should give the dead people a chance to 'seek revenge' on the island, by allowing the zombies to vote a person of the island :P


That's a dangerous idea, you know?

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